Math 207, First Day Activity (Sampling
Distributions)—Age Discrimination Case
(This case study is from
Watkins, Scheaffer, and Cobb, Statistics in Action: Understanding a World of Data, Key Curriculum
Press)
In the spring of 1991,
the engineering department (in the envelope division) of Westvaco Corporation
had five rounds of layoffs. At the time of the second round of layoffs, there
were 10 hourly-wage employees who worked in the engineering department. The
ages (in years) of these employees are listed below.
25 33 35 38 48 55 55 55 56 64
During the second round
of layoffs, three of the hourly-wage workers were laid off. The ages of these
three employees were 55,55, and
64.
Robert Martin, one of the
laid-off employees, filed a lawsuit against Westvaco claiming the company
practiced age discrimination in deciding who would be laid off during the
second round. How can we decide, statistically, whether or not there is strong
evidence of age discrimination?
1.
Discuss
how age discrimination could be shown (or not shown) based on these data. Are
there other issues that should be considered besides these ages?
2.
What is
the average age of the three employees who were laid off? Does this seem high?
What are you comparing it to?
3.
If there
was no age discrimination, then we could possibly assume the ages of the three
laid-off employees are simply a random sample from the population of ages
(since age has nothing to do with the layoff process). Note: A random sample of
size 3 is one where each group of size 3 has the same chance of being the
selected sample. As a class, we can simulate this random sampling process, and
generate many samples of size 3.
4.
Create
the population of 10 ages by writing each age on a small piece of paper (simply
tear up a piece of notebook or scratch paper). Then mix up the pieces of paper
(ages face down)—this process is important to ensure the randomness. Now draw
three cards, record the ages as your first sample, and calculate the average
age for your sample. (You can do this in the table below.) Repeat this process
five times.
|
Sample |
Age 1 |
Age 2 |
Age 2 |
Average
Age |
|
1 |
|
|
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
|
5.
Now go to
the board and add the sample averages
for your 5 random samples to the dot plot.
6.
How can
we use the distribution of sample averages
(on the board) and the group of three employee ages (who were laid off) to
decide whether or not there is strong evidence of age discrimination?
This activity illustrates the use of a sampling
distribution to make inference. The sampling distribution of a statistic is the
distribution of values taken by the statistic in all possible samples of the
same size from the same population. Sampling distributions are an integral part
of this course and an integral part of many statistical analyses.