Math 117—Sampling-Distribution Exercises        Group Members__________________________________

You must turn in solutions as a group. Please designate one member of your group as the “recorder,” but all members of the group must completely understand, contribute to, and validate the recorder’s answers. Note: It’s more important that you have detailed, thorough discussions than that you record those discussions exactly. That is, spend time talking through all these questions in detail, and your “solutions” can be simply a sketch of those detailed discussions.

 

  1. Consider a population of just 10 college students. These ten students all have Facebook accounts. The number of Facebook “friends” for each of these college students: 100, 110, 90, 70, 60, 100, 90, 90, 150, 130.

 

This average number of friends for this small population is . Also, the distribution of the population is shown in the dotplot below.

 

 

 

As we discussed in class, the sample average (based on a random sample) is a good estimator for the population mean (it’s an unbiased estimator,  ,and its variability,  , decreases as the sample size increases). What is the sampling distribution of the sample average, based on samples of size 3? To investigate this, 20 different samples (of size 3) were randomly selected from the population of 10 friends. For each sample, the sample average, , is computed. (For example, one of the random samples consisted of the numbers 70, 100, and 150. For this particular sample the  value is 106.7.) These 20  values are shown in the dotplot below. The graph shown below is an estimate of the sampling distribution of  (the actual sampling distribution would show the  from all possible samples of size 3 from this population).

 

 

 

    1. Consider the two dotplots above. How exactly are these dotplots different? For example, i) what do the dots represent in each plot?, and ii) how are the shapes of the distributions different?

 

 


  1. Consider four different distributions: 1) The distribution of the number of Facebook friends for a population of 1000 college students, 2) the distribution of Facebook-friend values for one sample of size 200 (taken from the population described in 1), 3) the distribution of number-of-Facebook-friend averages for 1000 different samples (all of size n=10) from the population mentioned in 1, and 4) the distribution of number-of-Facebook-friend averages for 1000 different samples (all of size n=50) from the population mentioned in 1.

 

Four frequency histograms are shown below. Match each histogram with exactly one of the distributions listed above. Thoughtfully defend your answer for every match (not just “it was the one leftover”).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  1. Suppose the distribution of Facebook friends for all college students is strongly skewed to the higher values with mean 120 and standard deviation 73. (Use this information for parts a-c of this problem.)

 

    1. Based on the methods of analysis you’ve accumulated so far, state explicitly why you cannot determine the probability that a randomly selected college student has more than 100 friends.

 

 

 

 

 

 

    1. Now, state exactly why you can determine the probability that the average number of friends (for a random sample of size 50) is larger than 100.

 

 

 

 

 

 

    1. Determine the probability asked for in part b. As part of your solution, draw an appropriate, well-labeled picture, and for all your calculations explain exactly what you are doing (e.g., if you use a formula, explain exactly how it helps you solve the problem and why exactly you “plug in” certain numbers into the equation).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

  1. Now suppose you know nothing about the distribution of Facebook friends for all college students (except that the standard deviation is 73). The Facebook CEO claims the average number of Facebook friends for the population of all college students is 150. Using your statistical knowledge, you effectively take a random sample of 50 college students on Facebook and record the number of “friends” for each of them. The sample average for these 50 students is  Facebook friends.

 

    1. For the next two parts of this problem, ask and answer the following questions: 1) What exactly are you doing (can you describe it precisely)?, 2) why are you doing it (how does it fit into the solution)?, and 3) how does it help you (what will you do with the outcome you obtain)?

 

    1. Assuming the Facebook CEO’s claim  is true, determine the probability of observing this sample average (120) or a smaller sample average of friends. (Include an appropriate, well-labeled picture as part of your answer.)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

    1. Does the probability you determined in part b make you doubt the population average claimed by the CEO? Why or why not?